Metric Interaction Learning for Performance Incident Discovery in Non-Stationary Cloud Services
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Keywords

Cloud service monitoring
non-stationary time series
performance anomaly detection

Abstract

Large-scale cloud service platforms generate continuous performance time series from CPU utilization, memory usage, request latency, disk I/O, network throughput, queue length, and service error logs. These metrics are strongly coupled, but their distributions change frequently due to workload migration, elastic scaling, software release cycles, and diurnal user demand. This study proposes a cross-metric dependency fusion model for non-stationary cloud service performance anomaly detection. The method constructs a dynamic metric-dependency matrix through window-level mutual information and temporal attention. A multi-scale sequence encoder is used to capture short-term spikes, periodic workload changes, and long-range service degradation patterns. To reduce false alerts under normal workload shifts, a regime-conditioned residual scoring module adjusts anomaly thresholds according to recent workload states. Experiments are conducted on a cloud service monitoring dataset containing 2,460 microservice instances, 186 service groups, and 96 performance metrics collected at one-minute intervals over 120 days. The dataset contains 169 million timestamped metric records and 2,340 labeled incidents, including memory leakage, cascading latency, abnormal queue accumulation, failed deployment, and disk saturation. The proposed model reduces median incident detection delay from 14.2 minutes to 4.8 minutes compared with a static Transformer reconstruction model. The false alert volume decreases to 2.6 alerts per service group per week. The model reaches a Matthews correlation coefficient of 0.921 and a Cohen’s kappa of 0.903 across mixed workload regimes. Online inference processes 38,000 metric points per second, with a median scoring latency of 24 ms per service group. The results show that cross-metric dependency fusion can improve cloud performance anomaly detection under non-stationary service conditions.

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